Strategic report
Annual Report and Financial Statements 2024
18
Against a challenging backdrop of rising interest
rates, the property portfolio had a good year,
with a total return of over 8%. More details of the
investments are provided on pages 34 to 35 of the
Annual Report but the highlights include long leases
(the weighted average unexpired lease length is 16
years) and strong links to inflation. In total 72% of
the rental income is linked to RPI or CPI, with another
16% on fixed increases, and another 12% with
upward‑only rent reviews. The property portfolio is
managed by a specialist manager, OLIM, who have
a long and impressive track record of investing
on behalf of SAINTS. They have astutely avoided
the weak parts of the property market in the past
few years, such as offices, and focused intently on
inflation‑linked leases with good tenants that include
the likes of ALDI, Tesco and Premier Inn. The portfolio
remains fully let. The manager anticipates that
average annual rental growth over the next five years
will average 3‑4%.
The infrastructure portfolio also continues to deliver
solid income growth. Again, these are investments
in real assets. They are also liquid assets, because
we have chosen to invest in infrastructure through
equities: for example, the equity of the Italian
electrical grid operator Terna, and the equity of
the tollroad operator Jiangsu Expressway, which
controls many of the major roads around Shanghai.
In the short‑term, these equities will go up and down
with the stock market, but in the long‑term (which
is of far more concern to SAINTS) we expect their
returns to be driven primarily by the returns from their
underlying infrastructure assets. In 2024, we saw
share prices of several of these investments fall, as
stock markets re‑priced the future path of interest
rates around the world. But their income growth
remained solid, with Terna raising its dividend by
6.6% and the largest holding, Greencoat UK Wind,
raising its dividend by double‑digits.
The bond portfolio is a very small part of SAINTS’
assets, representing less than 1% of the total. It
is invested opportunistically in government bonds
where we see attractive yields and low default risk.
The largest investment is an inflation‑linked sovereign
bond issued by Brazil, paying an attractive yield of
around 7%, where in our view there is very low risk
ofdefault.
SAINTS borrows prudently. Just as we stress‑
test every dividend in the equity portfolio, so we
stress‑test the Company’s ability to service its
debt. The£95m of borrowings represents gearing
of less than 10% (on a debt to total assets basis).
Weremain confident the portfolio of assets which is
funded out of these borrowings should beat the cost
of the borrowing, and as such is a good use of the
investment trust structure.
Revenue and dividend growth
As the property manager found attractive
opportunities for investment in 2024, we funded
these new purchases from sales of bonds, which had
higher yields. In the long‑term we believe this shift
from bonds into property will strengthen SAINTS’
dividend growth, but in the short‑term it reduced the
amount of income earned in 2024. This is why the
growth in equity income, at 10%, was reduced a little
to growth in total income of 7.6%. In some years, the
Board chooses to grow the dividend to shareholders
a little slower or faster than the Company’s income,
depending on what is most appropriate for the long‑
term. This year, the Board has chosen to grow the
dividend by 5.5%.
We are very conscious that in the past few years,
SAINTS’ dividend growth has not been strong in every
year. A variety of factors have combined to produce
this result, including moderate dividend growth
from some companies during the Pandemic period,
changes made to the equity and property portfolios
in pursuit of better long‑term growth, and a rising UK
corporate tax rate. If we take the past three years,
SAINTS’ dividend has grown by 9%, 2%, and 5.5%
respectively, meaning an average growth rate of
5.5% over the period.
Looking forward, we will keep our sights set on 10%
in the equity portfolio, and, even allowing for some
investments which fall below our expectations, we
hope this will still deliver equity income growth in the
high‑single‑digit range. The non‑equity investments
are more likely to grow in line with inflation, say
3%. But this should still produce overall income
and dividend growth well ahead of inflation. If UK
CPI averages, say, 3%, we would hope that SAINTS
could deliver dividend growth of 6%, extending the
Company’s long‑track record of beating inflation by
3%. Thanks to the wonder of compounding, were this
result to be achieved, a shareholder could expect, in
nominal terms, to see their income rise by more than
30% over a five year period.
There are multiple ways to achieve income from
equities. Some income managers do it by selling
capital, others by focusing on yield. Our firm belief
is that, over the long‑term, income that is backed
bynatural dividend growth, the SAINTS’ approach,