
Fund Manager’s report
Introduction
The year to 30 June 2024 was a decent year for the
Company, with an NAV total return of 12.0% outperforming
the benchmark which delivered a return of 10.1%. Despite the
lacklustre economy, investors put fresh eyes on the European
smaller companies universe which helped the start of the
recovery in valuation multiples for the space.
The year was characterised by soft markets in a tepid
European economy. However, hopes of an economic pick-up
began to manifest towards the end of 2023. We encountered
a ‘growth scare’ towards the end of the financial year as fears
that the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve had
been too slow to cut interest rates were exacerbated by snap
elections called in France and the UK, which temporarily
disrupted economic activity. A recession has been long
awaited following the energy and supply chain shocks that hit
the global economy in 2022. We have, however, been of the
view that the global economy would have a soft landing, but
that inflation and consequently interest rates would remain
higher than prior to the pandemic. So far that has broadly
come to pass, but we do think monetary policy is too tight
inthe West and that central banks need to loosen policy now
that inflation has been largely tamed.
Another phenomena of the markets has been an extreme
concentration in a few very large companies. In the US this
was a group of companies referred to as ‘The Magnificent
Seven’ (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta
Platforms and Tesla). In Europe no exciting collective noun
was settled on, but names such as semiconductor equipment
titan ASML, GLP-1 producer Novo Nordisk and luxury good
behemoth LVMH have dominated stock market performance
in recent years. However, we began to see the broadening of
the market take place over the year and smaller companies
began to outperform larger companies for the first time since
2021. This was helpful for your Company that has a focus on
investing in genuinely smaller companies.
Perception and reality do not always align. Much of what we
do as a team is to look for companies that have a fundamental
reality that is better than its perception in the stock market and
to consider ways that this can change. In some respects, this
is true of the European smaller company market in general.
One country that firmly has a perception problem is Germany.
An economic model dependent upon cheap Russian energy
and Chinese demand meeting the impending demise of the
internal combustion engine automobile appears to have some
substantial problems. So it is gratifying to have found so many
German businesses that have been able to prove the
naysayers wrong and show the reality that there is some
incredible innovation and great businesses in the country.
The outperformance over the twelve months to 30 June 2024
was primarily driven by stock selection, with a handful of
winners driving performance, many of them being German.
German listed semiconductor equipment manufacturer
SUESS Microtec was a substantial contributor in the period,
as demand for their Temporary Bonder machines, used in the
manufacturing of Artificial Intelligence (‘AI’) chips, increased
dramatically. German listed specialty chemical producer
Alzchem also performed well as a result of the growth in their
creatine and nitroguanidine businesses. Creatine is a chemical
that supplies energy to muscles and has long been favoured
by bodybuilders, but is increasingly being used to fend off
conditions such as sarcopenia. Nitroguanidine is a propellant
that goes in car air bags, but is also a key ingredient in NATO
ammunition. Another German driver of performance was web
hosting and cloud services solutions provider IONOS as a
combination of a cheap valuation and strong earnings
momentum drove the pricing of the shares.
The portfolio
We remain consistent in our strategy of investing across
thecorporate lifecycle with a balance of early-stage growth
stocks, high return on capital growth compounders at
sensible prices, undervalued cash generative mature
companies and self-help turnaround stocks. The price we pay
for shares in a company is a critical component of what we
doand must be justified by the cash generation potential of
abusiness. We are not a ‘value fund’ but we are intensely
valuation aware. Our intention is that the performance of the
portfolio is driven by stock selection rather than macro-
economic factors and one of our key contentions is that
company management matters. It is always gratifying to see
underperforming companies get their act together and one
such name for usthis year has been Fugro, a Dutch listed
collector and interpreter of geological data. The company has
evolved from servicing the oil and gas industry to being a key
part of the green energy transition, helping developers
understand where best to locate offshore wind turbines.
Thecompany had been a stock market darling in the 2000s,
but with the collapse in oil and gas capital expenditure from
2014 onwards had been struggling, earning a paltry return on
capital employed. Weinvested in the company during the
pandemic when the company was loss making and needed to
raise capital. Since then, management has done a terrific job
of improving returns by focusing the business on renewables
and driving better margins and asset efficiency. We think the
return on capital has a way to go yet, but the shares have
begun to catch the markets’ attention again and the holding
was a strong contributor to performance this year.
Performance attribution
The Company benefitted from our investment in Dutch listed
wealth manager Van Lanschot Kempen, which continued to
attract strong fund inflows in the low countries. Swedish listed
digital investment platform Nordnet saw an increase in
business momentum as animal spirits revived in their market.
One of the joys of managing a European smaller companies
portfolio is that the investable universe is so fabulously
heterogeneous that we are able to find companies that are
benefitting from almost any exciting trend in the world.
The European Smaller Companies Trust PLC Annual Report 2024
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