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Having completed two consequtive challenging years with very solid results, we are heading to another one. The strong results delivered in 2021 gives us the confidence for the year ahead, yet 2022 will be at least as tough as last year. There are still too many uncertainties related to the course of the pandemic. Also geopolitical risks, high inflationary environment in our operating regions and the increases in raw material purchase pricesa lead to higher per hl prices which may weigh on consumption across the board. Macro-economic developments and currency volatilities are also going to be crucial for meeting our targets and may lead us to revisit our expectations throughout the year.
Consolidated sales volume is expected to grow by mid-single digit; low-single digit on a proforma basis (100% consolidation of CCBU for FY2021 and FY2022)
Total Beer volume is to decline by mid-single digit. Significant price increases are expected to pressure beer markets especially in Turkey, Russia and Ukraine businesses. CIS operations' volumes are expected to be flattish to slightly higher versus 2021.
Consolidated Soft Drinks sales volume to grow high-single digit to low-teens; mid-single digit on a proforma basis
Turkey soft drinks: Flattish
International soft drinks: High-teens growth; high-single digit growth on a proforma basis
Consolidated Net Sales Revenue is expected to grow by low-thirties on FX-Neutral basis; contibuted by the price increases in both business lines
Total Beer revenue is to grow by mid-teens on FX-Neutral basis with high-single digit growth in international beer revenues on FX-Neutral basis and low-fifties percentages growth in Turkey beer revenues
Total Soft Drinks revenue is expected to grow by low to mid 40s percentage on FX Neutral basis
Consolidated EBITDA Margin is expected to decline around 100 bps
Total Beer EBITDA margn is expected to be impacted from high inflationary environment and increased cost pressures, therefore the year-on-year dilution is estimated to be around 100 bps Total Soft Drinks EBITDA margn : Flat to 100 bps contraction versus 2021; including Uzbekistan's dilution impact and commodity price pressures .
Capex: As a percentage of sales high single digits on a consolidated basis
Free Cash Flow generation will continue to be strong yet will be slightly lower than its 2021 level; due to higher capex spending in absolute terms as a result of year-on-year higher FX rates.
2022 outlook reflects management expectations and are based upon currently available data. Actual results are subject to future events and uncertainties including but not limited to macro-economic, financial, geopolitical and political risks, which could materially impact the Company's actual performance.
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