EQS-News: Edison Investment Research Limited / Key word(s): Forecast/Results Forecast Edison Investment Research Limited: Edison issues update on Cohort (CHRT)
12-Dec-2016 / 15:15 GMT/BST
London, UK, 12 December 2016 Edison issues update on Cohort (CHRT) Cohort has delivered solid profit growth in H117; this performance is expected to strengthen in the second half. The mix of profitability and reducing minorities has led us to increase our FY18 forecasts by 6% at the EPS level. The progressive dividend policy provides immediate benefit to investors, but the capital progress should also remain attractive. The shares have performed well in recent months, aided by a healthy rerating of peer defence stocks; as a result, our fair value has risen to 485p, supported by the improved cash flow valuation. The strong performance of EID and MCL means the minorities act as a drag on earnings this year. As these should be more fully consolidated in FY18 EPS, we think that is a more realistic base to assess Cohort's progress. The mix of organic growth, healthy margins, rising free cash flow and dividend progression compares favourably to UK defence peers, implying the modest P/E premium that our fair value calculation of 485p (up from 439p previously) indicates is plausible.
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