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Liability for Unpaid Loss and LAE
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Dec. 31, 2011
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| Liability for Unpaid Loss and LAE | 9. Liability for Unpaid Loss and LAEThe following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances for unpaid losses and LAE, reported in the accompanying consolidated balance sheets as of December 31, 2011 and 2010:
In 2011, the Company’s liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE attributable to prior years increased by $12,521 primarily as result of unfavorable loss development, in its Specialty Program segment due to higher actuarial estimates based on actual losses. In 2010, the Company’s liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE attributable to prior years increased by $7,946 primarily as result of unfavorable loss development, in its Specialty Program segment due to higher actuarial estimates based on actual losses. In 2009, the Company’s liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE attributable to prior years decreased by $4,827 primarily as result of favorable development in both the Small Commercial Business segment and Specialty Risk and Extended Warranty segment partially offset by unfavorable development in our Specialty Program Business segment as well as the Company’s involuntary participation in NCCI pools. In setting its reserves, the Company utilizes a combination of Company loss development factors and industry-wide loss development factors. In the event that the Company’s losses develop more favorably than the industry, as a whole, the Company’s liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE should decrease. Management believes that its use of both its historical experience and industry-wide loss development factors provide a reasonable basis for estimating future losses. As the Company has written more business and developed more credible data, the Company has assigned more weight to its historical experience than to industry-wide results. In either case, future events beyond the control of management, such as changes in law, judicial interpretations of law, and inflation may favorably or unfavorably impact the ultimate settlement of the Company’s loss and LAE. The anticipated effect of inflation is implicitly considered when estimating liabilities for losses and LAE. While anticipated changes in claim costs due to inflation are considered in estimating the ultimate claim costs, the increase in average severity of claims is caused by a number of factors that vary with the individual type of policy written. Future average severities are projected based on historical trends adjusted for implemented changes in underwriting standards, policy provisions, and general economic trends. Those anticipated trends are monitored based on actual development and are modified if necessary. |
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